Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 6.043033 6.649475 7.295686 8.036457 8.863306 9.759130 10.804890
2025-11-16 4.926655 5.742726 6.670458 7.807078 9.167324 10.749363 12.738050
2025-11-23 4.190708 5.124104 6.244159 7.695977 9.540687 11.823135 14.886913
2025-11-30 3.746672 4.774232 6.066565 7.826836 10.186018 13.272589 17.672396
2025-12-07 3.323972 4.386471 5.777312 7.754456 10.530331 14.345172 20.082942
2025-12-14 2.949254 4.011090 5.450051 7.573385 10.679204 15.138671 22.178530
2025-12-21 2.685743 3.753953 5.247943 7.529355 10.995494 16.180438 24.748592
2025-12-28 2.530065 3.629266 5.213480 7.713585 11.654070 17.789053 28.394999
2026-01-04 2.385279 3.503527 5.160158 7.855141 12.250349 19.354758 32.172911
2026-01-11 2.231282 3.347920 5.043809 7.879906 12.652229 20.637905 35.631577
2026-01-18 2.074452 3.173141 4.879811 7.806760 12.875485 21.633065 38.698683
2026-01-25 1.922527 2.992870 4.690145 7.669229 12.967197 22.397936 41.428178
2026-02-01 1.782291 2.823254 4.508091 7.534568 13.062404 23.203405 44.407826
2026-02-08 1.663179 2.679335 4.357048 7.439576 13.219255 24.142758 47.807095
2026-02-15 1.564379 2.561756 4.240670 7.394385 13.462064 25.273302 51.782596
2026-02-22 1.507702 2.511465 4.235712 7.550793 14.105356 27.271499 57.966079
2026-03-01 1.423350 2.406350 4.124965 7.497114 14.326407 28.431069 62.447408
2026-03-08 1.330132 2.278737 3.963622 7.330659 14.299159 29.059810 65.781174
2026-03-15 1.262957 2.193199 3.872469 7.292192 14.530534 30.271711 70.729009
2026-03-22 1.229739 2.167333 3.890135 7.471947 15.243718 32.646187 79.033674
2026-03-29 1.193208 2.132540 3.887748 7.609578 15.878966 34.923862 87.516714
2026-04-05 1.145645 2.073525 3.833859 7.634020 16.262280 36.653611 94.838073
2026-04-12 1.090765 1.996842 3.739631 7.563722 16.419830 37.852159 100.887002